Line of Scrimmage: NFL GameChangers '10: Pass Rushers

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07/02/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Apart from 13 mostly unmemorable outings with the Washington Redskins in 2008, Jason Taylor has spent his entire 13- year NFL career as a member of the Miami Dolphins.

Thus, suffice it to say, he's more than familiar with the New York Jets. Taylor's second career NFL sack was of then-Jets QB Neil O'Donnell in 1997, and his appearances against the organization that Namath made famous number around two dozen. He's also had plenty of rhetorical run-ins with the team's vocal fan base, once saying, "There's a little more class on the Giants side...some Jets fans take the 'cl' out of class."

So you might forgive those who did a double-take when they saw the news that Taylor had signed on to wear the same jersey that those supposedly less-than- refined supporters will don inside the new Meadowlands stadium this fall. The marriage between Taylor and the Jets feels about as natural as one between Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Sarah Silverman.

Fans of Gang Green aren't the only ones who find the move curious.

"It's a little surreal," said Taylor at his introductory press conference in the spring. "To be honest, walking into the building on my first visit and kind of feeling like you're in somewhat of enemy territory, it was different."

If you get the sense that Taylor would have chosen not to have those strange feelings, then you're not far off. The six-time Pro Bowler makes no bones about the fact that he wished to return to the Dolphins, but a prickly relationship with management and Taylor's advancing age largely had much to do with a lack of mutual interest.

In the end, the best offer Taylor had from a contending team came from the Fins' longtime division rivals, and the 35-year-old ultimately decided to set aside any misgivings in the pursuit of his first Super Bowl title.

There are some who believe that Taylor's well-demonstrated pass-rushing skills could be the thing to get the Jets over the hump this season.

"I couldn't be happier to have someone like Rex Ryan come up to the forefront and want me," Taylor said of his new coach. "He was one half away from going to the Super Bowl last year, he and the Jets. [The Jets] had the number one defense in the League. For him to express interest in a 35-year old defensive end/linebacker out of the rival Miami Dolphins was very flattering to me."

But what of those fans who might be suspicious that Taylor - who had the worst year of his career when playing away from Miami in 2008 - might not be at his best while wearing what he once considered to be hated Jets green?

"I think the number one currency in the NFL is what you do on the football field," Taylor said. "If you want to get results, if you want to get something done, if you want to get a new contract, the best the way to go about doing that is by your play. That's what I plan to do. Come over here and play my butt off like I have for 13 years in the League and give this organization and these fans everything that I have."

Below, as the second installment of our eight-part "GameChangers" series, we look at five incoming pass rushers who will enter their first year in a new uniform as central figures in their team's 2010 development:

5. Derrick Morgan, Titans (rookie, Georgia Tech) - Life in the NFL has not gotten off to a great start for Morgan, who battled calf and hamstring injuries during the team's mini-camps, then was arrested and charged with speeding and driving with a suspended license in mid-June. Tennessee needs a much more seamless autumn out of Morgan, who was chosen number 16 overall in order to boost one of the league's worst pass rushes in short order. The ACC's 2009 Defensive Player of the Year had 12.5 sacks as a junior last season, more than twice what any Tennessee player posted in last year's disappointing 8-8 campaign.

4. Aaron Kampman, Jaguars (free agent, from Packers) - Kampman probably didn't preserve his 2009 calendar for posterity, as the year started off with Green Bay transitioning to a 3-4 defense that marginalized his skills, and ended with him on injured reserve with a torn ACL suffered in Week 11. The injury didn't deter the Jaguars from snapping up the 4-3 end early in the free agency period, however, or from handing him a four-year, $26 million contract. The 30- year-old Kampman, who had 37 sacks out of the Pack's 4-3 from 2006-2008 and was named to a pair of Pro Bowls, needs to be the answer for a team that had a woeful 14 sacks in 2009.

3. Jason Taylor, Jets (free agent, from Dolphins) - "The fire is still burning," Taylor told the press when he was introduced as a Jet. "Trust me. It's burning hot." If Taylor is truly capable of bringing his "A" game, a Jets team that led the league in several meaningful defensive categories a year ago could be even scarier. Though guys like Calvin Pace and Shaun Ellis have had their moments, Rex Ryan's defense lacks a consistently threatening edge presence, one that Taylor can provide when he's at his best. Jets fans focused on the team's first Super Bowl appearance since The Beatles were a working band will expect nothing less.

2. Brandon Graham, Eagles (rookie, Michigan) - When the Eagles traded up in the first round of the April draft, many assumed it was in order to take a safety (Texas safety Earl Thomas was available) to serve as their Brian Dawkins of the future. Instead, the Birds targeted a player who many believed to be the top pass-rusher available, a reliable complement to the overachieving Trent Cole and a player who has a reputation for being steady against the run. On the latter point, the jury is still out - at a shade under 270 pounds Graham might be a little light to take on the NFL's top offensive tackles - but if he adjusts quickly, the ex-Wolverine should make life a little easier for the beleaguered secondary playing behind him.

1. Julius Peppers, Bears (free agent, from Panthers) - Bears GM Jerry Angelo and head coach Lovie Smith took a $91.5 million gamble that Peppers - whose effort during his eight seasons in Carolina was occasionally in question - can prop up Chicago's flagging defense and save their jobs. Peppers, who has missed only two games since 2002 and has posted double-digit sacks in five of the past six years, will definitely help. But with Mike Martz's quick-strike, quick three-and-out offense now operating on the other side, Peppers and the Bears defense is going to be on the field a great deal. Makes you wonder whether the ex-North Carolina two-sport star will be able to withstand the strain.

Next up at the Line of Scrimmage: 2010 GameChangers Part III - Wide Receivers

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.